Publications

Books

  1. Taboo: How Making Race Sacred Produced a Cultural Revolution (Forum Press, May 2024)

  2. Whiteshift: Populism, Immigration and the Future of White Majorities (Penguin Allen Lane Oct 2018; Overlook Press Jan 2019)

  3. Co-Edited book, with Robert Schertzer and Eric Taylor Woods, Nationalism and Conflict Management (Routledge, 2012)

  4. Co-edited book, with W. Bradford Wilcox, Whither the Child?: Causes, Consequences & Responses to Low Fertility (publisher: Boulder, CO: Paradigm Publishers, October 2012)

  5. Co-edited with Jack Goldstone and Monica Duffy Toft: Political Demography: How Population Changes Are Reshaping International Security and National Politics (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2012)

  6. Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth: Religion, Demography and Politics in the 21st Century, Profile Books, 2010 (2011 US edition). – Reviewed in Sunday Times, Observer, FT, Literary Review, Independent, Telegraph (blog), New Humanist, Big Issue Scotland, London Metro, Toronto Globe and Mail, Morning Star, Sunday Star Times (New Zealand), Spiked Online, Taki’s Magazine and others. See www.sneps.net for details.

  7. The Orange Order: A Contemporary Northern Irish History, (Oxford University Press 2007; paperback 2009)Serialised in Belfast News Letter, 21 to 26 May 2007; Reviewed in Belfast News Letter (5 June 2007), Irish Times (30 June 2007), Prospect (November 2007), Irish Independent (July 2007), Irish Studies Review (Dec 2007), History Ireland (Nov/Dec),  London Review of Books

  8. The Decline of the Loyal Family: Unionism and Orangeism in Northern Ireland – co-authored book with Professor Henry Patterson (U. Ulster). (Manchester University Press 2007)

  9. The Rise and Fall of Anglo-America: The Decline of Dominant Ethnicity in the United States (Harvard University Press, 2004) – sole-authored monograph. Reviewed positively in Financial Times (2004)Times Higher Education Supplement (2005), Review of Metaphysics (2004)Choice (2005), The Journal of American Culture (2005), Modern Age (2005), The Journal of American History (2005)Cercles: Revue pluridisciplinaire du monde anglophone (2006), Journal of American Ethnic History (2006),Rhetoric and Public Affairs (2007)

  10. Rethinking Ethnicity: Majority Groups and Dominant Minorities (Routledge, 2004) – edited

Book Chapters

Academic Articles

  1. Kaufmann E, Leal DL, Tafoya JR. Divided Images: How the English Perceive Nationhood and How This Shapes Voting and Opinion. PS: Political Science & Politics. Aug 2023.“White Flight from Immigration?: attitudes to diversity and white residential choice.”, Social Science Quarterly (2023)

    With Erik Larsen and Matthew Goodwin. (2022). ‘Asymmetric realignment: Immigration and right party voting,’ Electoral Studies, Volume 80, December

    Kaufmann, E. (2022). “The new culture wars: Why critical race theory matters more than cancel culture.” Social Science Quarterly.

    Rozado, David, and Eric Kaufmann. “The increasing frequency of terms denoting political extremism in US and UK news media.” Social Sciences 11, no. 4 (2022): 167.

    (with Thomas Leeper and Simon Hix), ‘Pricing Immigration,’ Journal of Experimental Political Science (2020), pp. 1-12.

    ‘Ethno‐traditional nationalism and the challenge of immigration,’ Nations and Nationalism 25 (2) 2019, 435-448

    ‘Can narratives of white identity reduce support for Hard Brexit?: a survey experiment,’ Political Studies, 67 (1) 2019, 31-46

    With Andrea Ballatore (of Birkbeck), ‘New York Yankees and Hollywood Anglos: the persistence of anglo-conformity in the American motion picture industry,’ Nations and Nationalism, April 2019

  2. With Matthew Goodwin, ‘The Diversity Wave: A meta-analysis of the native-born white response to ethnic diversity,’ Social Science Research, Aug 2018

  3. “Can Narratives of White Identity Reduce Opposition to Immigration and Support for Hard Brexit? A Survey Experiment.” Political Studies, 2017 [preprint]

  4. With Mark Levene, Trevor Fenner and George Loizou, ‘A multiplicative process for generating a beta-like survival function with application to the UK 2016 EU referendum results,’ International Journal of Modern Physics C, Nov 2017 [preprint]

  5. ‘Levels or changes?: Ethnic context, immigration and the UK Independence Party vote,’ Electoral Studies, Volume 48, August 2017, Pages 57–69

  6. ‘Complexity and Nationalism,’ Nations and Nationalism,  23 (1) 2017, pp. 6-25

  7. ‘From Multiculturalism to Multivocalism: complexity, national identity and political theory,’ Identities (in section on Building inclusive nations in the age of migration), April 2016 prepublication version [official]

  8. with G. Harris, ‘White Flight’ or Positive Contact?: local diversity and attitudes to immigration in Britain, Comparative Political Studies 48 (12) 2015, pp. 1563-1590

  9. Introduction to special issue of Nations and Nationalism on John Armstrong, vol 21, issue 1, January 2015

  10. with M. Stonawski, V. Skirbekk, A. Goujon, ‘The end of secularisation through demography? Projections of Spanish religiosity,’ Journal of Contemporary Religion, 30(1):1-21 (January 2015) uncut draft

  11. ” ‘It’s the Demography, Stupid’: Ethnic Change and Opposition to Immigration,” Political Quarterly, Vol. 85, No. 3, pp. 267-76, November 2014 unedited draft

  12. ‘The Politics of Immigration: UKIP and Beyond’, Political Quarterly, Vol. 85, No. 3, pp. 247-50, November 2014 (also editor of special issue on the politics of immigration) unedited draft

  13. ‘Land, History or Modernization?: Explaining Ethnic Fractionalization’, Ethnic and Racial Studies 38 (2), pp. 193-210. [uncut draft]

  1. ‘Primordialists and Constructionists: A typology of theories of religion’, Religion, Brain and Behavior, Issue 2 (online 4 May 2012)

  2. ‘The Northern Ireland Peace Process in an Age of Austerity,’ Political Quarterly, vol. 83, no.2, (March) 2012, pp. 203-209 draft

  3. with Vegard Skirbekk and Anne Goujon, ‘American political affiliation, 2003–43: A cohort component projection,’ Population Studies, published online Nov. 5, 2011

  4. with Anne Goujon and Vegard Skirbekk, The End of Secularization in Europe?: A Socio-Demographic Perspective,’ Sociology of Religion, published online August 8, 2011

  5. ‘Reflections on the Swiss Sonderfall,’ Nations and Nationalism, vol. 17 (September 2011), pp. 815-20

  6. ‘The Demography of Ethnic Conflict,’ Journal of Ethnopolitics (also Editor of special section on ‘The Politics of Ethnic Demography’) vol.3, no. 4, September 2011, pp. 367-8

  7. ‘Demographic Change and Conflict in Northern Ireland: Reconciling Qualitative and Quantitative Evidence’, Journal of Ethnopolitics, September, 2011

  8. with Eric Woods and Robert Schertzer, ‘Ethno-national conflict and its Management,’ Commonwealth and Comparative Politics, 49.2, April 2011, pp. 153-61

  9. with Vegard Skirbekk and Anne Goujon, ‘Secularism, Fundamentalism or Catholicism? The Religious Composition of the United States to 2043‘, Journal for the Sientific Study of Religion, vol. 49, no. 2 (June) 2010

  10. with Oded Haklai, ‘Dominant Ethnicity: From Minority to Majority’, Nations and Nationalism,  14.4 (2008)

  11. ‘Human Development and the Demography of Secularisation in Global Perspective’, Interdisciplinary Journal of Research on Religion – draft version (final version can be downloaded hereabstract figures tables appendix

  12. The Lenses of Nationhood: An Optical Model of Identity’, Nations and Nationalism, 14.3 (2008), [figure 1 2 3 4]

  13. ‘The Dynamics of Intra-Party Support for the Good Friday Agreement in the Ulster Unionist Party,’ Political Studies, vol. 54, no. 3 (October) 2006

  14. ‘The Dynamics of Orangeism in Scotland: The Social Sources of Political Influence in a Large Fraternal Organization,’ Social Science History, volume 30: 2 (Summer) 2006

  15. With Oliver Zimmer – ‘ “Dominant Ethnicity” and the “Ethnic-Civic” Dichotomy in the work of A. D. Smith’, Nations & Nationalism, special issues 10.1 & 10.2 (March) 2004, pp. 61-76

  16. ‘The Rise of Cosmopolitanism in the Twentieth Century West: A Comparative and Historical Perspective on the United States and European Union,’ Global Society, Vol. 17, no. 4 (2003), pp.359-83

  17. ‘The Ethnic Origins of the American Nation,’ Geopolitics, vol. 7, no. 2 (Autumn 2002), pp. 99-120

  18. ‘Nativist Cosmopolitans: Institutional Reflexivity and the Decline of “Double-Consciousness” in American Nationalist Thought: Interrogating a Nineteenth Century Paradox,’ Historical Sociology, vol. 14, No. 1 (2001), pp. 47-78

  19. ‘Liberal Ethnicity: Beyond Liberal Nationalism and Minority Rights,’ Ethnic and Racial Studies, vol. 23, no. 6 (2000), pp. 1086-1119

  20. ‘Ethnic or Civic Nation?: Theorizing the American Case,’ Canadian Review of Studies in Nationalism, vol. 27 (2000), pp. 133-54

  21. ‘American Exceptionalism Reconsidered: Anglo-Saxon Ethnogenesis in the “Universal” Nation, 1776-1850,’ Journal of American Studies, 33 (1999), 3, pp. 437-457

  22. ‘The Sensory Basis of Historical Analysis,’ Rethinking History: The Journal of Theory and Practice, 3:3 (1999), pp. 329-332

  23. ‘ “Naturalizing the Nation”: the Rise of Naturalistic Nationalism in the United States and Canada,’ Comparative Studies in Society and History, vol. 40, no. 4 (October 1998), pp. 666-695

  24. ‘In Search of the Authentic Nation: Landscape and National Identity in Canada and Switzerland,’ (with O. Zimmer), Nations & Nationalism, vol. 4, part 4 (1998), pp. 483-510

  25. ‘Condemned to Rootlessness: The Loyalist Origins of Canada’s Identity Crisis,’ Nationalism and Ethnic Politics, vol.3, no.1, (1997), pp. 110-135

Invited Articles

‘The Dominant Ethnic Moment: Towards the Abolition of ‘Whiteness’?,’ Debate article with David Roediger (Also reply to Roediger’s reply). Ethnicities, vol. 6.1 (March), 2006, pp. 231-253

Other Articles

  1. Introduction, special section of Journal of Ethnopolitics on the politics of ethnic demography, September 2011

  2. Conclusion, special section of Nations and Nationalism on Switzerland, 2011

  3. Introduction (co author with Monica Toft), Political Demography (Boulder, CO: Paradigm)

  4. ‘Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?’, Ethical Record, 2010

  5. ‘Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?’, Studies, 2010

  6. ‘From Background to Foreground: Majority Groups and Dominant Minorities’, introduction to themed section on Dominant Group Identity, Nations & Nationalism, vol. 14:4 (2008), as well as debate article (co-authored with Oded Haklai) with Andreas Wimmer

  7. ‘Introduction’, Debate on John Hutchinson’s Nations as Zones of Conflict, Nations & Nationalism, vol. 13, issue 4 (2007), pp. 1-4

Book Reviews

Policy Papers

  • With Nate Honeycutt and Sean Stevens, ‘The Academic Mind in 2022: What Faculty Think About Free Expression and Academic Freedom on Campus,’ FIRE, Feb 28, 2023

  • With Zach Goldberg, ‘School Choice Is Not Enough: The Impact of Critical Social Justice Ideology in American Education,’ Manhattan Institute, Feb 23, 2023

  • ‘The Political Culture of Young Britain,’ Policy Exchange, Nov 19, 2022

  • ‘The Politics of the Culture Wars in Contemporary Britain,’ Policy Exchange, Nov 19, 2022

  • ‘Born this Way: the rise of LGBT as a Political Movement,’ Center for the Study of Partisanship and Ideology (CSPI) report, May 2022

  • ‘The Politics of the Culture Wars in Contemporary America,’ Manhattan Institute, Jan. 25, 2022

  • ‘The Social Construction of Racism in the United States,’ Manhattan Institute, Apr 7, 2021

  • ‘Academic Freedom in Crisis: Punishment, Political Discrimination, and Self-Censorship,’ Center for the Study of Partisanship and Ideology (CSPI) report, Mar 1, 2021

  •  ‘Academic Freedom in the UK: protecting viewpoint diversity,’ Policy Exchange, 3 August 2020‘Demographic Threat and Right-wing Radicalism,’ in Rakib Ehsan and Paul Stott, Countering the Far Right: An Anthology, Henry Jackson Society, April 2020

    ‘Academic Freedom in the UK,’ Policy Exchange, 6 Nov 2019

    Brief to Integrated Communities Strategy Green Paper consultation (DCLG), 5 June 2018

    ‘Why Values, not Economics, Hold the Key to the Populist Right – and to Crafting New Migration Narratives,’ International Organization for Migration (Geneva: IOM, 2017)

    Author of report ‘Racial Self-Interest is not Racism,’ Policy Exchange, 3 March 2017 (pp. 1-60)

    Brief to Home Office Select Committee on Immigration Enquiry, 2 Feb 2017

    Brief to Casey Review of Integration and Extremism, 15 January 2016

    ‘White Flight in England?’, contribution to Policy Exchange report on British Minority dynamics, 6 May 2014, p. 32

    contributor (among several) to Europe section of ‘The Future of the Global Muslim Population’ (Washington, DC: Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life, 2011)

    Brief on political demography to the Royal Society working group ‘People and the Planet’ chaired by Sir John Sulston FRS, 1 October 2010

    Co-authored with Richard Cincotta, ‘Uncompromising Demography in a Promised Land: The Growth of Dissonant Minorities and the Escalation of Demographic Politics in Israel’, National Intelligence Council (NIC) Special Report, July 2010 (Washington, DC: NIC)

  • Co-author (among several) of ‘Pew Forum Muslim Religious Demography Report: Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, France, Germany, Netherlands, Spain, Sweden and United Kingdom’. (Washington, DC: Pew, 2010)

  • ‘Sacralisation by Stealth: Demography, Religion and Politics in Europe’, JPR (Institute for Jewish Policy Research) pamphlet, June 2007

  • ‘ A Dying Creed?: The demographic contradictions of liberal capitalism’, ESRC UPTAP programme briefing paper, March 2007. Also available at: <http://www.uptap.net>

  • ” ‘From Deference to Defiance: Popular Unionism and the Decline of Elite Accommodation in Northern Ireland,’ ESRC Devolution & Constitutional Change programme, Devolution Briefings, No. 29, August 2005 <http://www.devolution.ac.uk/pdfdata/Briefing%2029%20-%20Kaufmann%20and%20Patterson.pdf>