Publications
Books
Taboo: How Making Race Sacred Produced a Cultural Revolution (Forum Press, May 2024)
Whiteshift: Populism, Immigration and the Future of White Majorities (Penguin Allen Lane Oct 2018; Overlook Press Jan 2019)
Co-Edited book, with Robert Schertzer and Eric Taylor Woods, Nationalism and Conflict Management (Routledge, 2012)
Co-edited book, with W. Bradford Wilcox, Whither the Child?: Causes, Consequences & Responses to Low Fertility (publisher: Boulder, CO: Paradigm Publishers, October 2012)
Co-edited with Jack Goldstone and Monica Duffy Toft: Political Demography: How Population Changes Are Reshaping International Security and National Politics (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2012)
Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth: Religion, Demography and Politics in the 21st Century, Profile Books, 2010 (2011 US edition). – Reviewed in Sunday Times, Observer, FT, Literary Review, Independent, Telegraph (blog), New Humanist, Big Issue Scotland, London Metro, Toronto Globe and Mail, Morning Star, Sunday Star Times (New Zealand), Spiked Online, Taki’s Magazine and others. See www.sneps.net for details.
The Orange Order: A Contemporary Northern Irish History, (Oxford University Press 2007; paperback 2009); Serialised in Belfast News Letter, 21 to 26 May 2007; Reviewed in Belfast News Letter (5 June 2007), Irish Times (30 June 2007), Prospect (November 2007), Irish Independent (July 2007), Irish Studies Review (Dec 2007), History Ireland (Nov/Dec), London Review of Books
The Rise and Fall of Anglo-America: The Decline of Dominant Ethnicity in the United States (Harvard University Press, 2004) – sole-authored monograph. Reviewed positively in Financial Times (2004), Times Higher Education Supplement (2005), Review of Metaphysics (2004), Choice (2005), The Journal of American Culture (2005), Modern Age (2005), The Journal of American History (2005), Cercles: Revue pluridisciplinaire du monde anglophone (2006), Journal of American Ethnic History (2006),Rhetoric and Public Affairs (2007)
Rethinking Ethnicity: Majority Groups and Dominant Minorities (Routledge, 2004) – edited
Book Chapters
‘ ‘Populist Critiques of (or the backlash against) Multiculturalism’,’ in Geoffrey Brahm Levey (ed), Research Handbook on Multiculturalism (Elgar 2023)
‘Left-Modernist Extremism,’ in Pedro Zuquete (ed), The Palgrave Handbook of Left-Wing Extremism, Vol. 1 (Palgrave 2023)
‘Demographic Change and American Instability,’ in Arthur Milikh (ed.), Up From Conservatism: Revitalizing the Right After a Decade of Decay (Encounter Books, 2023), pp. 260-75
‘Identity not Culture: where ethnic majorities are disadvantaged,’ in Orgad, Liav and Ruud Koopmans, Majorities, Minorities and the Future of Nationhood (Cambridge University Press, 2023), pp. 62-86
‘Resisting Cultural Socialism: how to march back through the institutions,’ in Balogh, S. and Nick Timothy, Fighting Back: Defending Britain and the West in the Culture War (New Culture Forum, 2022), pp. 18-27
‘Everyday Censorship: What the Data Tell Us About the Threat to Free Speech on Campus,’ in Sheahan, Luke, International Comparative Approaches to Free Speech and Open Inquiry (FSOI) (Springer Link, 2022), pp. 243-70
‘Whiteshift: demographic change, populism and polarization in the West,’ in Sciubba, J., A Research Agenda for Political Demography (Elgar, 2021)
‘Ethnic Nationalism or Relaxed Assimilation?: the response of English ‘Sons of the Soil’ to immigration,’ in Cote, I. and M. Mitchell, People Changing Places: New Perspectives on Demography, Migration, Conflict and the State (Routledge, 2018)
‘The Religious Demography of London since 1980′ for David Goodhew and Anthony-Paul Cooper (eds), No Secular City: Church Growth and Decline in London, 1980 to the Present (Routledge, 2018)
‘Values and immigration – the real reasons behind Brexit and Trump’, in John Mair, Tor Clark, Neil Fowler, Ray Snoddy and Richard Tait (eds), Brexit, Trump and the Media (London: Abramis, 2017), pp. 61-70
‘The Demography of Religion in London since 1980,’ in D. Goodhew and A. Cooper (eds), No Secular City: Church Growth and Decline in London, 1980 to the Present (London:Routledge), forthcoming prepublication version
‘Anti-immigrant nativism as “Sons of the Soil” Conflict: the role of immigration and ethnic change in stimulating ethno-nationalism in Britain, in I. Cote and M. Mitchell (eds), Sons of the Soil Conflicts (Oxford University Press), forthcoming prepublication version
‘Religion Returns to Europe,’ in Almqvist, K. (2013). The Pursuit of Europe: Perspectives from the Engelsberg Seminar 2012, Axel and Margaret Ax:son Johnson Foundation.
with Daniele Conversi) ‘Ethnic and Nationalist Mobilization,’ in J. Tournon and A. Guelke (eds.), The Study of Ethnicity and Politics: Recent Analytical Developments (Berlin: Barbara Budrich, 2012), pp. 47-78
(with V. Skirbekk), ” ‘Go Forth and Multiply’: the Politics of Religious Demography” in Political Demography: identity, conflict and institutions, edited by J. A. Goldstone, Eric Kaufmann and Monica Duffy Toft. (Oxford:Oxford University Press)
“Sacralisation by Stealth: the demography of de-secularisation” in Stillwell, John et. al (eds.), Spatial and Social Disparities (Springer, 2010), pp. 217-32
‘Faith’s Comeback?: The Demographic Revival of Religion in Europe’, in Un Nuovo Umanesimo per L’Europa, University of San Pio V, Basilica de San Giovanni in Laterano conference volume, forthcoming [abstract] [tables] [graphs]
Academic Articles
Kaufmann E, Leal DL, Tafoya JR. Divided Images: How the English Perceive Nationhood and How This Shapes Voting and Opinion. PS: Political Science & Politics. Aug 2023.“White Flight from Immigration?: attitudes to diversity and white residential choice.”, Social Science Quarterly (2023)
With Erik Larsen and Matthew Goodwin. (2022). ‘Asymmetric realignment: Immigration and right party voting,’ Electoral Studies, Volume 80, December
Kaufmann, E. (2022). “The new culture wars: Why critical race theory matters more than cancel culture.” Social Science Quarterly.
Rozado, David, and Eric Kaufmann. “The increasing frequency of terms denoting political extremism in US and UK news media.” Social Sciences 11, no. 4 (2022): 167.
(with Thomas Leeper and Simon Hix), ‘Pricing Immigration,’ Journal of Experimental Political Science (2020), pp. 1-12.
‘Ethno‐traditional nationalism and the challenge of immigration,’ Nations and Nationalism 25 (2) 2019, 435-448
‘Can narratives of white identity reduce support for Hard Brexit?: a survey experiment,’ Political Studies, 67 (1) 2019, 31-46
With Andrea Ballatore (of Birkbeck), ‘New York Yankees and Hollywood Anglos: the persistence of anglo-conformity in the American motion picture industry,’ Nations and Nationalism, April 2019
With Matthew Goodwin, ‘The Diversity Wave: A meta-analysis of the native-born white response to ethnic diversity,’ Social Science Research, Aug 2018
“Can Narratives of White Identity Reduce Opposition to Immigration and Support for Hard Brexit? A Survey Experiment.” Political Studies, 2017 [preprint]
With Mark Levene, Trevor Fenner and George Loizou, ‘A multiplicative process for generating a beta-like survival function with application to the UK 2016 EU referendum results,’ International Journal of Modern Physics C, Nov 2017 [preprint]
‘Levels or changes?: Ethnic context, immigration and the UK Independence Party vote,’ Electoral Studies, Volume 48, August 2017, Pages 57–69
‘Complexity and Nationalism,’ Nations and Nationalism, 23 (1) 2017, pp. 6-25
‘From Multiculturalism to Multivocalism: complexity, national identity and political theory,’ Identities (in section on Building inclusive nations in the age of migration), April 2016 prepublication version [official]
with G. Harris, ‘White Flight’ or Positive Contact?: local diversity and attitudes to immigration in Britain, Comparative Political Studies 48 (12) 2015, pp. 1563-1590
Introduction to special issue of Nations and Nationalism on John Armstrong, vol 21, issue 1, January 2015
with M. Stonawski, V. Skirbekk, A. Goujon, ‘The end of secularisation through demography? Projections of Spanish religiosity,’ Journal of Contemporary Religion, 30(1):1-21 (January 2015) uncut draft
” ‘It’s the Demography, Stupid’: Ethnic Change and Opposition to Immigration,” Political Quarterly, Vol. 85, No. 3, pp. 267-76, November 2014 unedited draft
‘The Politics of Immigration: UKIP and Beyond’, Political Quarterly, Vol. 85, No. 3, pp. 247-50, November 2014 (also editor of special issue on the politics of immigration) unedited draft
‘Land, History or Modernization?: Explaining Ethnic Fractionalization’, Ethnic and Racial Studies 38 (2), pp. 193-210. [uncut draft]
‘Primordialists and Constructionists: A typology of theories of religion’, Religion, Brain and Behavior, Issue 2 (online 4 May 2012)
‘The Northern Ireland Peace Process in an Age of Austerity,’ Political Quarterly, vol. 83, no.2, (March) 2012, pp. 203-209 draft
with Vegard Skirbekk and Anne Goujon, ‘American political affiliation, 2003–43: A cohort component projection,’ Population Studies, published online Nov. 5, 2011
with Anne Goujon and Vegard Skirbekk, ‘The End of Secularization in Europe?: A Socio-Demographic Perspective,’ Sociology of Religion, published online August 8, 2011
‘Reflections on the Swiss Sonderfall,’ Nations and Nationalism, vol. 17 (September 2011), pp. 815-20
‘The Demography of Ethnic Conflict,’ Journal of Ethnopolitics (also Editor of special section on ‘The Politics of Ethnic Demography’) vol.3, no. 4, September 2011, pp. 367-8
‘Demographic Change and Conflict in Northern Ireland: Reconciling Qualitative and Quantitative Evidence’, Journal of Ethnopolitics, September, 2011
with Eric Woods and Robert Schertzer, ‘Ethno-national conflict and its Management,’ Commonwealth and Comparative Politics, 49.2, April 2011, pp. 153-61
with Vegard Skirbekk and Anne Goujon, ‘Secularism, Fundamentalism or Catholicism? The Religious Composition of the United States to 2043‘, Journal for the Sientific Study of Religion, vol. 49, no. 2 (June) 2010
with Oded Haklai, ‘Dominant Ethnicity: From Minority to Majority’, Nations and Nationalism, 14.4 (2008)
‘Human Development and the Demography of Secularisation in Global Perspective’, Interdisciplinary Journal of Research on Religion – draft version (final version can be downloaded here) abstract figures tables appendix
The Lenses of Nationhood: An Optical Model of Identity’, Nations and Nationalism, 14.3 (2008), [figure 1 2 3 4]
‘The Dynamics of Intra-Party Support for the Good Friday Agreement in the Ulster Unionist Party,’ Political Studies, vol. 54, no. 3 (October) 2006
‘The Dynamics of Orangeism in Scotland: The Social Sources of Political Influence in a Large Fraternal Organization,’ Social Science History, volume 30: 2 (Summer) 2006
With Oliver Zimmer – ‘ “Dominant Ethnicity” and the “Ethnic-Civic” Dichotomy in the work of A. D. Smith’, Nations & Nationalism, special issues 10.1 & 10.2 (March) 2004, pp. 61-76
‘The Rise of Cosmopolitanism in the Twentieth Century West: A Comparative and Historical Perspective on the United States and European Union,’ Global Society, Vol. 17, no. 4 (2003), pp.359-83
‘The Ethnic Origins of the American Nation,’ Geopolitics, vol. 7, no. 2 (Autumn 2002), pp. 99-120
‘Nativist Cosmopolitans: Institutional Reflexivity and the Decline of “Double-Consciousness” in American Nationalist Thought: Interrogating a Nineteenth Century Paradox,’ Historical Sociology, vol. 14, No. 1 (2001), pp. 47-78
‘Liberal Ethnicity: Beyond Liberal Nationalism and Minority Rights,’ Ethnic and Racial Studies, vol. 23, no. 6 (2000), pp. 1086-1119
‘Ethnic or Civic Nation?: Theorizing the American Case,’ Canadian Review of Studies in Nationalism, vol. 27 (2000), pp. 133-54
‘American Exceptionalism Reconsidered: Anglo-Saxon Ethnogenesis in the “Universal” Nation, 1776-1850,’ Journal of American Studies, 33 (1999), 3, pp. 437-457
‘The Sensory Basis of Historical Analysis,’ Rethinking History: The Journal of Theory and Practice, 3:3 (1999), pp. 329-332
‘ “Naturalizing the Nation”: the Rise of Naturalistic Nationalism in the United States and Canada,’ Comparative Studies in Society and History, vol. 40, no. 4 (October 1998), pp. 666-695
‘In Search of the Authentic Nation: Landscape and National Identity in Canada and Switzerland,’ (with O. Zimmer), Nations & Nationalism, vol. 4, part 4 (1998), pp. 483-510
‘Condemned to Rootlessness: The Loyalist Origins of Canada’s Identity Crisis,’ Nationalism and Ethnic Politics, vol.3, no.1, (1997), pp. 110-135
Invited Articles
‘The Dominant Ethnic Moment: Towards the Abolition of ‘Whiteness’?,’ Debate article with David Roediger (Also reply to Roediger’s reply). Ethnicities, vol. 6.1 (March), 2006, pp. 231-253
Other Articles
Introduction, special section of Journal of Ethnopolitics on the politics of ethnic demography, September 2011
Conclusion, special section of Nations and Nationalism on Switzerland, 2011
Introduction (co author with Monica Toft), Political Demography (Boulder, CO: Paradigm)
‘Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?’, Ethical Record, 2010
‘Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?’, Studies, 2010
‘From Background to Foreground: Majority Groups and Dominant Minorities’, introduction to themed section on Dominant Group Identity, Nations & Nationalism, vol. 14:4 (2008), as well as debate article (co-authored with Oded Haklai) with Andreas Wimmer
‘Introduction’, Debate on John Hutchinson’s Nations as Zones of Conflict, Nations & Nationalism, vol. 13, issue 4 (2007), pp. 1-4
Book Reviews
Review of Vivian Ibrahim and Margit Wunsch (eds) Political Leadership, Nations and Charisma, Studies in Ethnicity and Nationalism, Sept 2012
Review of Alain-C. Gagnon et. al, ‘Contemporary Majority Nationalism,’ Canadian Review of Studies in Nationalism, May 2012
Book review of Christopher Caldwell, ‘Reflections on the Revolution in Europe’, Population and Demographic Review, December 2009
Book review of Amy Chua, ‘Day of Empire’, Nationalism and Ethnic Conflict, vol. 15: 1, 2009, pp.133-136
Book Review of S. Saideman and W. Ayres, ‘For Kin and Country’, Nations and Nationalism, Vol.15, Issue 1, 2009, pp.172-174
Book Review of T. Baycroft and M. Hewitson, ‘What is a Nation?’, The Nationalism Project, 2007
Book Review of Appiah, K. Anthony, ‘The Ethics of Identity,’ H-Nationalism, 26 June 2006
Book review of David Brown, ‘Contemporary Nationalism,’ Ethnic and Racial Studies, vol. 24, no. 5 (Sept. 2001), pp. 570-71
Policy Papers
With Nate Honeycutt and Sean Stevens, ‘The Academic Mind in 2022: What Faculty Think About Free Expression and Academic Freedom on Campus,’ FIRE, Feb 28, 2023
With Zach Goldberg, ‘School Choice Is Not Enough: The Impact of Critical Social Justice Ideology in American Education,’ Manhattan Institute, Feb 23, 2023
‘The Political Culture of Young Britain,’ Policy Exchange, Nov 19, 2022
‘The Politics of the Culture Wars in Contemporary Britain,’ Policy Exchange, Nov 19, 2022
‘Born this Way: the rise of LGBT as a Political Movement,’ Center for the Study of Partisanship and Ideology (CSPI) report, May 2022
‘The Politics of the Culture Wars in Contemporary America,’ Manhattan Institute, Jan. 25, 2022
‘The Social Construction of Racism in the United States,’ Manhattan Institute, Apr 7, 2021
‘Academic Freedom in Crisis: Punishment, Political Discrimination, and Self-Censorship,’ Center for the Study of Partisanship and Ideology (CSPI) report, Mar 1, 2021
‘Academic Freedom in the UK: protecting viewpoint diversity,’ Policy Exchange, 3 August 2020‘Demographic Threat and Right-wing Radicalism,’ in Rakib Ehsan and Paul Stott, Countering the Far Right: An Anthology, Henry Jackson Society, April 2020
‘Academic Freedom in the UK,’ Policy Exchange, 6 Nov 2019
Brief to Integrated Communities Strategy Green Paper consultation (DCLG), 5 June 2018
‘Why Values, not Economics, Hold the Key to the Populist Right – and to Crafting New Migration Narratives,’ International Organization for Migration (Geneva: IOM, 2017)
Author of report ‘Racial Self-Interest is not Racism,’ Policy Exchange, 3 March 2017 (pp. 1-60)
Brief to Home Office Select Committee on Immigration Enquiry, 2 Feb 2017
Brief to Casey Review of Integration and Extremism, 15 January 2016
‘White Flight in England?’, contribution to Policy Exchange report on British Minority dynamics, 6 May 2014, p. 32
contributor (among several) to Europe section of ‘The Future of the Global Muslim Population’ (Washington, DC: Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life, 2011)
Brief on political demography to the Royal Society working group ‘People and the Planet’ chaired by Sir John Sulston FRS, 1 October 2010
Co-authored with Richard Cincotta, ‘Uncompromising Demography in a Promised Land: The Growth of Dissonant Minorities and the Escalation of Demographic Politics in Israel’, National Intelligence Council (NIC) Special Report, July 2010 (Washington, DC: NIC)
Co-author (among several) of ‘Pew Forum Muslim Religious Demography Report: Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, France, Germany, Netherlands, Spain, Sweden and United Kingdom’. (Washington, DC: Pew, 2010)
” ‘From Deference to Defiance: Popular Unionism and the Decline of Elite Accommodation in Northern Ireland,’ ESRC Devolution & Constitutional Change programme, Devolution Briefings, No. 29, August 2005 <http://www.devolution.ac.uk/pdfdata/Briefing%2029%20-%20Kaufmann%20and%20Patterson.pdf>