It’s not often a tweet thread of mine hits 11,000 likes and counting, so I share it in full here. Essentially, I see the ‘vibe shift’ against woke excess as the end of a 120-year period - and especially a 60-year period - of rising cultural left-liberalism. This stems from my Wall Street Journal op-ed yesterday, itself based on an academic paper I wrote in Theory and Society in late February. Also in this vein is my free conference on Post-Progressive social science at the University of Buckingham June 5-7 (a few spots still remain for this star-studded lineup, which caps at 200, so act fast!) and pre-conference London event on ‘Is Woke Dead’, 4 June, featuring Gad Saad, Matt Goodwin and Batya Ungar-Sargon.
The cultural left focused heavily, after 1964, on equal outcomes and emotional harm protection for historical marginalized race, gender and sexual minority groups (a.k.a. woke). Those aims became canonized as unassailable and dominant values and taboos. One virtue-signaled to them and feared them. That project still lives in the hearts and minds of many, and in zombie institutional DEI policies and procedures which can only be unpicked by deliberate political action.
Yet the cultural left’s confident moral righteousness and untrammeled power in the culture is over. Cultural leftists must now face the fact that the others, include mainstream media and corporate elites, are wise to their excesses. They are just one interest group among many. The chiliastic balloon has been punctured, a calamity for a quasi-religious movement.
The thread:
1/ We are entering a post-progressive era. The cultural left-liberalism which emerged a century ago and took off in the late 1960s is exhausted. This ‘vibe shift’doesn’t just repudiate the last decade, but the last 60 years. My latest
2/ Ideas are often downstream of events, rather than the reverse. The origins of postmodernism and critical theory lie in decolonization, Civil Rights and the ‘new social movements’ of minorities, feminists and gays.
3/ As with postmodernism, events spurred post-progressivism: the illiberalism and irrationality of cancel culture & transactivism, endemic populism and polarization, family and community breakdown (including birthrate collapse)
4/ Trump is illiberal, corrupt, narcissistic. But his war on DEI strikes a chord: even critics admit he has a point. His repudiation of affirmative action (1965), disparate impact (1971) and speech codes (1987) goes well beyond rejecting the Awokening of the 2010s
5/ Left-liberalism is moderate on economics but has no guardrails on culture. Cultural left-liberals believed in constant upward movement towards ever more diversity, equity and inclusion. This became a grand narrative of progress toward utopia
6/ Equal outcomes and emotional harm protection for sacred race, gender and sexual identity groups (woke) was the unassailable End of History. The only question was mobilizing activists & capturing institutions
7/ The progressive dream focused on winning the young and the educated while capturing the meaning-making institutions. It worked. Attitudes held only by artists and sociologists in the 1960s spread. The professions all shifted left, as Adam Bonica shows:
8/ According to value change theorists like Ron Inglehart, affluence and security were producing a new left-liberal generation, one birth, one funeral and one college degree at a time. This held true for 60 years
9/ But as the cultural left pushed to the next level: from individual equality to group equality of outcome, rights for citizens to rights across borders, gay rights to trans rights, it ran into the sands of polarization. The progressive escalator stalled
10/ Stunningly, attitudes on trans went ‘backwards’ after 2022, the first cultural reversal for the liberal left in a century. For a movement used to being in the vanguard of history, this is an existential crisis (UK data via @YouGov, points for years 2021-24)
11/ Today, what Daniel Bell calls the left’s ‘chiliastic hopes’ are over. Mainstream media outlets openly criticize the excesses of woke, and moderate left politicians and pundits argue that it helped put Trump in office. Progressive activism has lost confidence and energy
12/ The rise of anti-woke politicians like Ron DeSantis and the aftermath of the October 7 Hamas attacks rocked elite institutions. DEI ideas of the past 50 years have lost power in corporate America while universities are backing away
13/ The progressive dream focused on winning the young and educated. Young people are more woke on average. But a growing anti-woke tendency among formerly moderate young people has shifted young college students to the right since 2022 (HERI freshman data):
14/ Postmodernism argued that new times required required an unmasking of techno-scientific modernism. Post-progressivism means we need to deconstruct the progressive moral backcloth to public life that presents itself as natural and consensual, adopting a critical view of its motivation
15/ Postmodernism asserted that the end of the grand narrative of modernism meant a new scholarly paradigm of relativism. Post-progressivism argues that the end of the progressive grand narrative demands a new social science
16/ Where critical theory critiqued race or sex as social constructs, post-progressivism uses a meta-critical theory that critiques the critics. Racism and sexism are (in part) social constructs whose meanings are deliberately inflated
17/ My
Op Ed
Opinion | Welcome to the Post-Progressive Political Era
18/ My @Theory_Society paper:
The post-progressive condition: Meta-critical theory and the rebalancing of knowledge
19/ The academic conference on post-progressive social science:
https://heterodoxconference.com
20/ We are leaving the progressive era, c. 1964-2022. The failure of woke was its Waterloo. Elite culture is in transition. What will replace it?
What Eric calls the "progressive escalator" I call the Egalitarian Steamroller, and while there's no doubt that the steamroller has run out of gas and blown a gasket, I'm not ready to believe that it can't be repaired and put back into service, for 2 reasons:
1) Secular Western liberals still need meaning and purpose and the Social Justice faith provides it, there is no replacement faith on the horizon, and Egalitarianism remains maybe our last shared sacred value and people use it to socially signal their virtue much like how prior generations used a crucifix pendant; and
2) When it comes to arts and culture, everyone over say age 30 in everything from art and curation to galleries and museums to publishing and Hollywood etc is still a Social Justice true believer, the ideology remains strong and unchallenged among the people who will control our cultural and educational institutions for at least the next generation, and they more than anyone else still need to signal their exalted egalitarian morality.
So I think it's a bit too soon to say the Progressive faith is dead and buried, it's not enough that it's crashed on its own, there will need to be an enemy (a new stronger belief system) that comes along to deliver the coup de grace. We shall see...
Yes, I agree that cultural left-liberalism has hit a dead end, although I see the causes of it doing so go far beyond the recent overreach of the Woke. I also am very unsure of what comes next.
Good luck with your conference. I hope that you all help us to find a more constructive foundation for modern societies.
You and your readers might be interested in reading some articles that I have written on the topic:
https://frompovertytoprogress.substack.com/p/the-left-has-hit-a-historical-dead
https://frompovertytoprogress.substack.com/p/why-the-left-undermines-progress
https://frompovertytoprogress.substack.com/p/the-central-moral-dilemma-of-the
https://frompovertytoprogress.substack.com/p/why-progress-and-upward-mobility